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I bet there will be more than just two parties by 2030

1 min readOct 6, 2020

I’ll bet a quarter. Call me and I’ll send you a quarter now. If the duopoly still reigns in 2030 you can keep it. If, by then, we’re enjoying a three- or four-party system, you’ll send me fifty cents.

On the left, AOC says that in a rational political system she and Bernie would not be in the same party as Joe Biden. And she’s clamoring for a rational political system.

The same goes for Mitt Romney and Donald Trump on the right.

Either:

(a) one of the establishment parties will split (I think there’s a chance the Republican Party will split during 2021 if Trump loses badly)

or:

(b) ranked-choice voting will catch on as a better electoral system (the latter could enhance the viability of alternative parties)

Meanwhile, I’m noticing more and more articles like this one:

https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/09/22/two-party-collapse-republican-democrat-doom-loop/

“U.S. politics desperately needs a political realignment to respond to the economic and climate crises bearing down on it. The only way to break the democracy-destroying doom loop [re: ‘only two serious choices’] is by making it easier for more parties to compete.”

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Steven Welzer
Steven Welzer

Written by Steven Welzer

A Green Party activist, Steve was an original co-editor of DSA’s “Ecosocialist Review.” He now serves on the Editorial Board of the New Green Horizons webzine.

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