I bet there will be more than just two parties by 2030
I’ll bet a quarter. Call me and I’ll send you a quarter now. If the duopoly still reigns in 2030 you can keep it. If, by then, we’re enjoying a three- or four-party system, you’ll send me fifty cents.
On the left, AOC says that in a rational political system she and Bernie would not be in the same party as Joe Biden. And she’s clamoring for a rational political system.
The same goes for Mitt Romney and Donald Trump on the right.
Either:
(a) one of the establishment parties will split (I think there’s a chance the Republican Party will split during 2021 if Trump loses badly)
or:
(b) ranked-choice voting will catch on as a better electoral system (the latter could enhance the viability of alternative parties)
Meanwhile, I’m noticing more and more articles like this one:
https://foreignpolicy.com/2020/09/22/two-party-collapse-republican-democrat-doom-loop/
“U.S. politics desperately needs a political realignment to respond to the economic and climate crises bearing down on it. The only way to break the democracy-destroying doom loop [re: ‘only two serious choices’] is by making it easier for more parties to compete.”